Journal of Social and Political
ISSN 2615-3718 (Online)
ISSN 2621-5675 (Print)
Published: 08 November 2021
Is the Anti-Incumbency Sentiment Changing in Tamil Nadu? A Case Study of 2021 Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections
Anurag Piyamrao Wasnik, Divya Saroja Chayanam
Indian Institute of Management (India), XLRI (India)
Download Full-Text Pdf
Keywords: Elections, Tamil Nadu, Voting Behaviour, Anti-Incumbency
Elections are the most important pillar of democracy. A voter's behaviour is influenced by many parameters that can turn the outcome of the election. Many constituencies follow a certain voting pattern. The voters of the Indian state of Tamil Nadu, have often been categorized as having an anti-incumbency sentiment, where the ruling party has often switched in every consecutive election. However, there seems to be a gradual shift in this sentiment. This paper presents a case on the relaxation of the anti-incumbency sentiment by analyzing the voting data across the constituencies in the five elections of the last two decades. Some aspects which could have contributed to this voting behaviour are also discussed.
Virmani, Arvind (2004) : Economic growth, governance and voting behaviour: an application to Indian elections, Working Paper, No. 138, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi.
Dr. R. Swaminathan et al (2019) “Political Mindmap of Tamil Nadu – First Time Voters and Others,” Global Journal of Political Science, Vol-7, Number 1, 2019
Leigh L. Linden (2004), “Are Incumbents Really Advantaged? The Preference for Non-Incumbents in Indian National Elections”, Doctoral thesis, Department of Economics, MIT
Rajalakshmi Kanagavel, Velayutham Chandrasekaran (2014), “Creating Political Awareness Through Social Networking – An Empirical Study with Special Reference to Tamil Nadu Elections 2011”, Journal of Social Media Studies.
Ahmed, S., Jaidka, K., Cho, J., (2016), “The 2014 Indian Elections on Twitter: A comparison of campaign strategies of political parties”, Telematics and Informatics
Mary Ranganathan (2014), “Indian Elections 2014 Commercial Media Pushes Social Media into Focus,” Asia Pacific Media Educator